According to a mathematical module devised by IIT scientists, the ongoing second wave of the Corona virus in India may peak between May 11-15 with 33-35 lakh total ‘active’ cases and decline steeply by the end of May.
Active cases would go up by about 10 lakh by mid-May before sliding, scientists from the Indian Institute of Technology in Kanpur and Hyderabad predicted, after applying the ‘Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach’ (SUTRA) model.
According to the scientists, Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan and Telangana may see a high of new cases by April 25-30, while Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh might already have reached their peak in new cases.
“Our model shows a peak of cases of ‘new’ infections, which are being observed on a day-to-day basis, may be noticed during May 1-5 at about 3.3 to 3.5 lakh infections per day. It’ll turn the peak of ‘active’ cases to around 33-35 lakhs 10 days later between May 11-15,” Manindra Agrawal of IIT Kanpur, involved with the national ‘super model’ initiative, told the Indian Newspaper Times of India on Wednesday.
On Friday, the country saw a single-day rise of 3,32,730 (3.32 lakh) Covid-19 infections and 2,263 fatalities with 24,28,616 (24.28 lakh) active cases.